Every country has its own diplomacy, as every bread baker has his own specialty, however crude the comparison may sound. British diplomacy, for example, implies raking heat with the wrong hands - defeating its rivals with someone else's hands. American diplomacy is about taking control and advancing overriding U.S. interests by providing foreign aid. However, these are very broad-brush characteristics. Naturally, each case, situation and period introduces its own corrections into that "modus operandi", maintaining the basic scheme of the procedure.

It is important to know the history of diplomacy because one can find diplomatic schemes there that are used now and will be used in the future. So, by having diplomatic schools, countries can use the learning experiences and skills of the past.

We often compare Russian-Turkish relations to those of the 1920s, which are almost identical, that is, coming to an agreement with rivals through concessions at a moment of weakness. For example, the technique of Soviet-German relations in 1939 was also the same and had many similarities with today's Russian-Turkish relations, particularly in terms of the thinking and schemes used.

For instance, in 1939, when Germany attacked Czechoslovakia, the Soviet Union asked Poland to give Czechoslovakia a military corridor to help the Czechs, but Poland refused it. At that time, there was a Polish-German honeymoon, and the Poles said that a Russian soldier would never set foot on Polish territory again. Simultaneously, the Soviet Union turned to Britain and France, the most powerful military power in Europe (at least it was considered so at the time), but these countries avoided going to war against Germany.

As a result, Germany bribed Poland by ceding a piece of the Czech territories to it and started preparing for the occupation of the same Poland. It was beneficial for Britain that Poland would disappear as a buffer and there would be a Soviet-German conflict. However, the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact was concluded. Poland was divided, and at that juncture, big economic and military cooperation began, like currently between Turkey and Russia. The Soviet Union gained time and France received the first blow.

Germany’s war against the Soviet Union was nevertheless waged, but later and with a different scenario. It was very similar to today's Russian-Turkish relations: both are gaining time, but the West needs to eliminate the buffer between Russia and Turkey, which is Armenia and Georgia, in order to start a direct confrontation. This was one of the goals of the Artsakh war. Now Armenia or Artsakh is in the role of Poland. Similar to the Molotov-Ribbentrop secret pact, there might be a Lavrov-Cavusoglu "secret pact", which we will probably find out about in 100 years.

It is difficult to say how the events will evolve in the future, but one thing is clear: Russia is trying to make concessions to Turkey due to the military conflict with the West, as it did in 1920, but the crucial events are ahead. Our strategy should be to buy time until the situation changes, whereas Azerbaijan needs to make the most of this window of opportunity now. This is the basic logic of today's events.