Monday, 25 November 2024

E Editorial

Peace treaty: Is the issue of Artsakh closed…?

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Azerbaijan considers that the issue of Artsakh is closed and wants to legally document it as soon as possible with the so-called "peace treaty."

Those who are unaware of the history and nuances of international politics may not comprehend the real reasons for Azerbaijan's haste to the full extent. The latter seems to have no motivation for haste. The 44-day war resulted in Azerbaijani victory, it has powerful allies who were interested to help it during the war. Meanwhile, with no allies, isolated and unaided, Armenia is currently facing one of the most challenging periods in its more than 30-year post-independence history, with its weak incumbent government struggling to address pressing issues constantly confusing and with no chances for revanche.

So, why is Azerbaijan in a rush, especially when time works in its favor? To answer this question, we need to understand the international relations and the bond between these relations and the drawing of borders between states. The issues of war and peace and borders are resolved on international platforms, and they should be based not only on international principles, which are ignored at least at the moment, but also the influence zones of major countries and possible new communications of great geopolitical importance.

Let's explore the current events with a brief historical overview. Not only the principles of the future world order, but also the borders of the states, which was one of the most difficult issues, were determined at the Tehran, Yalta and Potsdam conferences held after World War II. It took about 30 years from 1945 for the big countries to recognize the issue of new borders. Defeated Germany did not accept the loss of its territories, the rights of a divided Germany were also disputed. The status of the Baltic states within the Soviet Union was similarly disputed. And only through the Helsinki Charter of 1975 did those issues find their complete solution. Thus, it took 30 years for the borders of the countries of the two camps to be recognized.

Today, the world order created after World War II has collapsed and the borders have begun to change. There are many unresolved issues: Kosova, Abkhazia, South Ossetia, the unrecognized Republic of Transnistria, Crimea... There is a problem of dividing Ukraine, part of which Russia has recognized as its territory with still unclear borders, there is a conflict between Israel and Palestine, etc. The interests of big countries intersect here.

The old principles no longer function, and the new ones do not exist yet. Even if an international conference takes place, the issue of these new borders will remain uncertain for a long time. In this regard, Azerbaijan understands well that the Artsakh issue has not been actually resolved, and when big countries talk about the return of forcibly displaced people, it implies the security of Artsakh people. Who will ensure their security? That is, whose armed forces will be deployed there?

This is the reason why Azerbaijan is trying to speed up the signing of the agreement with the Republic of Armenia in order to separate the Artsakh issue from the rest of the unsettled ones and consider it resolved. And do we need it? Definitely not. Our task is to leave it behind the brackets and to follow the developments in international relations, particularly the political status of the South Caucasus, from which all other issues of interest to us will be derived.

The Armenian Center for National and International Studies

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Yerevan, Armenia

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www.acnis.am

  

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