Tuesday, 26 November 2024

E Editorial

Armenia in the arena of conflicts?

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There are big shifts in international relations. The Artsakh war can be considered as one of the episodes of those changes. Let us remember that after the war, Turkey's position in the South Caucasus was strengthened, which is an irreplaceable corridor to Central Asia. And the "Turkish world" is known to be a lever against Russia, China and Iran. And in whose hands is that lever? Naturally, those who want to limit the economic and geopolitical opportunities of those countries.

The name of the Cooperation Council of Turkic Speaking States, formerly called the Turkic Council, founded in 2009, has been changed to the Organization of Turkic States, according to a joint declaration of the Council's Summit in Istanbul in 2021, which implied closer integration. It is symbolic that it happened after the 44-day Artsakh war and was described by the participants of the summit as a great victory of the Turkic states. It is also symbolic that in 2009 the Turkic Council was founded in Nakhichevan, several tens of kilometers away from Yerevan.

Back in 1995, during the celebrations of the 1000th anniversary of Kyrgyz epic "Manas" in Bishkek, the capital of Kyrgyzstan, Turkish President Demirel stated that the construction of a highway connecting Central Asia with Turkey is their priority. As we see, all these cases are related to Armenia. The planned highway, of course, will pass through Armenia.

Everyone already knows that important changes are taking place in international relations, and we can no longer talk about the unipolar world order that was established after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Russia is now pursuing a more independent policy, and there is no need to talk about China's economic and military growth, it is obvious, and Iran is pursuing a more confident and active regional policy.

Now the main question is what new world order will be formed, bipolar or multipolar and, most importantly, what principles and what value system will be the basis of that new world order? Will there be a stable system, or will it develop in a chaotic manner, will the new world order be established through conflicts, or will it still be possible to avoid them and overcome that transformation through agreements?

Now let us once again address the Turkic world. It is obvious that they are trying to give it a significant role and use it against Russia, China and Iran as a factor to stop the progress of those countries.

All this could be considered as a problem of great powers: as they decide, small countries like Armenia will obey and adapt. However, our geographical location is such that we are in the arena of conflicts, and these transformations can be done at our expense, as happened during the Artsakh war. Moreover, in the future we will not be able to avoid the effects of those changes.

Now it is particularly important to understand where the developments are leading, what dangers and opportunities can be for us and how it is possible to pursue a flexible policy, not only to face the challenges, but also to use the opportunity.

The Armenian Center for National and International Studies

Yerznkian 75, 0033
Yerevan, Armenia

Tel.:

+374 10 528780 / 274818

Website:

www.acnis.am

  

The views of the authors do not necessarily reflect those of the Center.

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