Consistent with some opinions, the Russia-Ukraine military confrontation triggers World War III alarm, without escalating it into a direct clash between the superpowers, as it could spark a nuclear war with no winner. Some see this as the collapse of a unipolar world and the transition to a multipolar system, while others view it as a defeat for globalization, whereas according to contradictory claims this war is a struggle to maintain a unipolar system.
In general, the views are numerous and contradictory, depending on the sectoral aspects of the discussion. For example, in the civilization debates, there are those who see the Russia-Ukraine war as a clash of civilizations. Others do not rule out that what is happening is a crisis of values of modern Western civilization or a crisis of the capitalist system in general.
The abundance of views and debates, in fact, implies that the ongoing war has a global impact, though clear assessment of the current civilization and world order has not been made, and the questions on where we go, and the next destination of our civilization have not been answered yet.
Against this backdrop, the situation in Artsakh and in Armenia is very depressing and uncertain. What do we have at the moment, what are the most obvious facts? a) The Armenian army is defeated, b) the national spirit is broken, and c) the existence of Armenia and Artsakh is conditioned by the geopolitical interests of Russia and Iran. In other words, they are, willy-nilly, the guarantors of the territorial integrity of the Republic of Armenia, in addition the Russian peacekeepers are solving the existential problem of the population of Artsakh.
This is the reality. As Armenia's security depends on the international situation, it is very important for us to understand what developments are expected in non-existent international security system, and whether a new world order will be formed with new rules and principles ensuring our security as well. By the way, in the current situation, no country, even the most powerful one, can be sure of its security.
It is known from history that during the last three hundred years there were several major wars with the participation of international coalitions, which had one thing in common: after the wars, the big countries sat around the table to negotiate and agreed on a new world order, its rules and principles. It is obvious that such a process on the world order is expected after the Russia-Ukraine war, during which the accumulated conflicts, including the Artsakh issue, will be resolved in one package (how fair it is - is another matter).
Until then, the political thought of Armenia should try to understand that perspective and avoid any comprehensive agreement with Azerbaijan as much as possible.