Interests are the driving force of international relations and accordingly, they may be pursued in a variety of ways, including through ideologies, information wars, economic pressures, and, if necessary, the use of force. By and large, it has always happened, only technology and opportunities have changed dramatically over time, with everything else being the same.
The bigger is the state and its resources, the wider are the sphere of its ambitions and "national interests." Small countries are forced to take into account the interests of the "big" ones or try to "play" on their contradictions, and enter into military-political alliances (coalitions) for reasons of security and protection.
Whatever is happening around Armenia is in the realm of a similar scenario’s logic. Everything points to the fact that after the end of the war in Ukraine, or even parallel to it, the next conflict of global significance will shift to the greater Middle East. In terms of the number of victims and the intensity of the destruction, it will be much stronger, taking into account the ethnic diversity and religious fanaticism of the region. The South Caucasus is part of the greater Middle East, and some theorists consider Central Asia to be a continuation of that region.
It is obvious that a coalition is being formed against Iran in the form of Azerbaijan, Israel, Turkey, and Great Britain, to which the Arab countries of the Persian Gulf are beginning to join. Taking into account the progress of the Iranian nuclear program, war against that country is becoming more than likely. Apparently, the USA considers that the nuclear agreement is already unreal, and Iran has come close to the goal of creating nuclear weapons, as well as having success in creating long-range missiles.
If we pay attention to the visits and consultations to the military departments of the countries of the anti-Iranian coalition, which are gradually becoming more intense, we can notice that serious preparations are being made to start a war.
The second war in Artsakh should be evaluated as a prelude to the planned big war against Iran. Even then, the same countries of the anti-Iran alliance acted against us.
A question may arise: on which side of the front is Armenia or will we manage to avoid a possible war so that it does not move to our territory? This is already the main challenge we are facing. Armenia has a problem positioning itself in line with the current situation and regional threats.