Nikol Pashinyan's December 19 interview on the Public television of Armenia raised more questions than it answered. To assess the interview properly, it is crucial to grasp the context of the concurrent political process and the central theme of the conversation that unfolded.
Given this, let's examine the current geopolitical and regional dynamics. In this context, the incumbent holder of the position of the Prime Minister of Armenia chose to provide an interview to communicate his message to the public. What is the significance of this message, particularly in the current circumstances? Presently, Armenia and Azerbaijan are engaged in a close dialogue, exchanging documents related to the so-called "Peace Treaty," or more specifically, refining its principles.
Another factor to consider is geopolitical. It is widely acknowledged that nowadays two crucial global processes are unfolding: the reshuffling of spheres of influence and a discourse on the principles shaping the future world order. These developments occur amid intense competition, often manifesting in wars and military conflicts in certain regions. The 44-day war in 2020 and its aftermath, resulting in the depopulation of Armenians in Artsakh, should be interpreted within the context of this overarching process.
Concerning the location and contents of the "Peace Treaty" dialogue, there is an intense struggle involving Moscow, Brussels, and Washington, with direct interest from Tehran and Ankara. It is evident that each party has its distinct interests, primarily tied to potential future communications, a pivotal element in the geopolitical restructuring. It is plausible that the interview was also crafted to publicly disclose a significant aspect of the "Peace Treaty:” the communication infrastructure.
Setting aside the conflicting and controversial, lengthy, and ambiguous assessments of the history of Artsakh negotiations and their principles, one clear idea can be distilled from the entire interview. The government of the Republic of Armenia is relinquishing the Artsakh issue and will ultimately acknowledge Azerbaijan's territorial integrity through an interstate treaty, without any protocol addressing the rights of the Armenians in Artsakh. The interviewee from the Public television of Armenia perceives this as the sole means to safeguard Armenian statehood and ensure the protection of Armenia's sovereignty from Russia. This suggests a potential future shift in the external orientation, implying the prospect of departing from the CSTO and initiating official military-political cooperation with the West.
Thus, these were the primary and rather risky messages from the discussed interview. Unless opposition political forces counter this with a suitable alternative, particularly through a substantial reevaluation of the Artsakh issue and the effective safeguarding of the rights and freedoms of the Nagorno Karabakh Republic's people, challenging times lie ahead. The opposition needs to come together and articulate its decisive stance.